StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexei Popyrin v Raphael Collignon

Spielbeginn: 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

66 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexei Popyrin (Heim)

Prognose 39.85%2.51faire Quote
EV -2.36%
Vorteil -0.964%
Kelly -1.63%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.90%39.88%39.87%41.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.302.392.402.4543.48%41.92%41.75%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Raphael Collignon (Auswärts)

Prognose 60.15%1.66faire Quote
EV -1.36%
Vorteil -0.828%
Kelly -2.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.97%60.12%60.13%61.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.521.571.571.6465.79%63.68%63.69%60.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexei Popyrin (Heim): 39.85%; Raphael Collignon (Auswärts): 60.15%. Für Raphael Collignon (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.66. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.64, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.36%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (66 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.36%E -0.964%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 03:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.36%E -0.964%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 06:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 06:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -1.36%E -0.828%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 03:20
Pinnacle🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 08:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 08:19
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 06:10
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 07:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 03:19
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 03:20
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:21
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:00
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 08:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 03:20
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 06:11
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.75%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 08:30
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.56%E -1.58%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 07:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 09:19
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 02:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:19
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 03:19
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 03:18
DraftKings🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 07:29
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 03:20
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 03:20
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.37%E -4.79%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 03:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 02:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 03:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 03:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 03:20
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 03:20
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 03:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.58%E -5.64%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 02:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 07:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 02:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 07:40
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 07:40
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 07:40
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 08:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 08:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 09:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-16 09:21
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-16 09:21
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-06-16 08:40
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.4%2026-06-16 09:21