A Escola das Odds

Alexei Popyrin v Raphael Collignon

Início: 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexei Popyrin (Local)

Previsão 39.85%2.51odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -0.964%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.90%39.88%39.87%41.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.392.402.4543.48%41.92%41.75%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raphael Collignon (Visitante)

Previsão 60.15%1.66odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.828%
Kelly -2.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.97%60.12%60.13%61.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.571.571.6465.79%63.68%63.69%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.36%E -0.964%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 03:20
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.36%E -0.964%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 02:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 06:10
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 06:10
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Bally Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 01:59
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -3.16%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 02:00
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -1.36%E -0.828%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 03:20
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 08:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 08:19
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 06:10
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 07:30
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 03:19
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 03:20
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:21
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:00
ReBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 08:30
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 03:20
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 06:11
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 09:20
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.75%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 08:30
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.56%E -1.58%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 07:30
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.16%E -1.96%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 09:19
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 02:00
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 03:19
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 03:19
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 03:18
DraftKings2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 07:29
Betsson2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 03:20
NordicBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 03:20
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -5.55%E -2.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.37%E -4.79%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 03:20
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.97%E -3.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 02:19
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 03:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 07:40
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 03:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 03:20
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 03:20
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 03:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.35%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.58%E -5.64%K -16.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 02:00
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -7.54%E -3.25%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 07:30
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.76%E -2.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:20
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 02:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 07:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 07:40
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 08:20
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.34%E -3.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -7.97%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 08:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-06-16 09:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-16 09:21
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-06-16 09:21
Novig2.48I 40.32%NM 39.51%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.49%2.1%2026-06-16 08:40
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.4%2026-06-16 09:21