Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Raphael Collignon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 81.07%1.23fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -9.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%81.15%81.04%82.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.76%85.47%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Raphael Collignon (Visit)
Prediction 18.93%5.28fair odd
EV +4.12%
Edge +0.750%
Kelly +0.916%
Growth +0.038%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%18.85%18.96%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.025.005.5022.73%19.91%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 81.07%; Raphael Collignon (Visit): 18.93%. For Raphael Collignon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:31 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV +1.28%E +0.240%K +0.295%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.610%E -0.116%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.39%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.61%EV -2.31%E -0.448%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.94%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 19.06%EV -2.69%E -0.524%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.676%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.45%E -0.676%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.18%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.18%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.70%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96% | 2.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |