La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Zverev v Raphael Collignon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Predicción 81.07%1.23momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -9.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
78.85%81.15%81.04%82.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.76%85.47%82.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Raphael Collignon (Visitante)
Predicción 18.93%5.28momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +0.750%
Kelly +0.916%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%18.85%18.96%21.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.025.005.5022.73%19.91%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Casumo | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:31 |
| GTbets | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV +1.28%E +0.240%K +0.295%G +0.004% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.610%E -0.116%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.39%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.61%EV -2.31%E -0.448%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 12:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.94%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 19.06%EV -2.69%E -0.524%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.676%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.45%E -0.676%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| ReBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Coral | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Caesars | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.18%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.18%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| betPARX | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| BetUS | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.70%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |
| Novig | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96% | 2.8% | 2026-06-19 12:30 |