A Escola das Odds

Alexander Zverev v Raphael Collignon

Início: 2026-06-19 12:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Previsão 81.07%1.23odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -9.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.85%81.15%81.04%82.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.171.171.2189.29%85.76%85.47%82.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raphael Collignon (Visitante)

Previsão 18.93%5.28odd justa
EV +4.12%
Vantagem +0.750%
Kelly +0.916%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.29%18.85%18.96%21.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.405.025.005.5022.73%19.91%20.00%18.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +4.12%E +0.750%K +0.916%G +0.038%5.1%2026-06-19 12:31
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 82.18%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.82%EV +1.28%E +0.240%K +0.295%G +0.004%4.9%2026-06-19 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-19 12:30
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 12:30
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 12:30
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.20%E -8.22%K -76.69%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.336%E +0.063%K +0.078%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 12:30
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -0.610%E -0.116%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 12:30
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 12:30
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -1.56%E -0.299%K -0.371%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 12:30
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 81.39%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.61%EV -2.31%E -0.448%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 12:29
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 80.94%EV -1.91%E -1.58%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 19.06%EV -2.69%E -0.524%K -0.650%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-19 12:30
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.45%E -0.676%K -0.841%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -3.45%E -0.676%K -0.841%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 12:30
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 12:30
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 12:30
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
ReBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:30
BetMGM1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 12:30
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 12:30
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 12:30
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.58%E -6.65%K -54.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.34%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 12:30
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 12:30
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 12:30
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 12:30
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.18%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 12:30
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -8.18%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 12:30
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 12:30
Neds1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.77%E -5.89%K -45.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 12:30
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 12:30
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -3.53%E -2.97%K -18.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 12:30
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.72%E -2.26%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 12:30
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.15%E -4.40%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-19 12:30
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -5.96%E -5.14%K -37.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -14.81%E -3.29%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 12:30
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -4.34%E -3.68%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -16.70%E -3.80%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-06-19 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-19 12:30
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%0.8%2026-06-19 12:30
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18%1.9%2026-06-19 12:30
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 81.04%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.96%2.8%2026-06-19 12:30