Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Titouan Droguet v Jakub Mensik

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 12:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Titouan Droguet (Local)

Prediction 33.96%2.95fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.622%
Kelly +0.933%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%34.03%34.01%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.803.0038.46%35.79%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visit)

Prediction 66.04%1.51fair odd
EV -0.933%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.97%65.99%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.431.5071.43%69.60%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Titouan Droguet (Local): 33.96%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 66.04%. For Titouan Droguet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.87%E +0.622%K +0.933%G +0.017%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 12:34
GTbets🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -0.172%E -0.059%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 12:40
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.21%E -0.767%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:40
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:34
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Bally Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 12:39
BetAnything🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 12:34
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 12:38
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
TAB🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Caesars🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 12:39
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.30%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:29
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.36%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.933%E -0.622%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.933%E -0.622%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.6%2026-05-24 12:38