L’École des cotes

Titouan Droguet v Jakub Mensik

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 12:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Titouan Droguet (Local)

Prévision 33.96%2.95cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.622%
Kelly +0.933%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%34.03%34.01%36.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.803.0038.46%35.79%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.04%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.933%
Avantage -0.622%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.41%65.97%65.99%68.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.431.5071.43%69.60%69.93%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.87%E +0.622%K +0.933%G +0.017%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 12:34
GTbets2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -0.172%E -0.059%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 12:40
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 12:39
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.21%E -0.767%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:40
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:29
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:34
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:40
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:40
MyBookie.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 12:39
BetAnything2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 12:34
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 12:38
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 12:39
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.30%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:29
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:39
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.36%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.933%E -0.622%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.933%E -0.622%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.6%2026-05-24 12:38