La escuela de los momios

Titouan Droguet v Jakub Mensik

Inicio: 2026-05-24 12:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Titouan Droguet (Local)

Predicción 33.96%2.95momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.622%
Kelly +0.933%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.82%34.03%34.01%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.792.803.0038.46%35.79%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Predicción 66.04%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.933%
Ventaja -0.622%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.41%65.97%65.99%68.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.431.5071.43%69.60%69.93%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.87%E +0.622%K +0.933%G +0.017%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 12:34
GTbets2.94I 34.01%NM 32.57%EV -0.172%E -0.059%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.43%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 12:40
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.51%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 12:39
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.53%E -0.528%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.21%E -0.767%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 12:40
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:29
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:34
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 12:39
BetOnline.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:40
LowVig.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.57%E -2.45%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 12:40
MyBookie.ag2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -4.25%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 12:39
BetAnything2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 12:34
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -1.59%E -1.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.91%E -1.98%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 12:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 12:38
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 12:40
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.93%E -1.76%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 12:39
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 12:40
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.56%E -3.89%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.22%E -4.38%K -14.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 12:39
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.62%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 12:40
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -7.30%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:29
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.23%E -2.92%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 12:39
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.32%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.54%E -5.38%K -18.84%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -10.02%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.25%E -1.52%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 12:40
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -10.36%E -3.92%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.933%E -0.622%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.04%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.90%E -3.40%K -11.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.72%E -4.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.933%E -0.622%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-05-24 12:40
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-05-24 12:40
Novig2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%2.6%2026-05-24 12:38