Language:English
Thomas Faurel v Valentin Vacherot
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Thomas Faurel (Local)
Prediction 16.15%6.19fair odd
EV +3.35%
Edge +0.524%
Kelly +0.621%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.89%16.39%16.19%18.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.685.756.4020.00%17.61%17.39%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Vacherot (Visit)
Prediction 83.85%1.19fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -17.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.30%83.61%83.81%85.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.82%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thomas Faurel (Local): 16.15%; Valentin Vacherot (Visit): 83.85%. For Thomas Faurel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.19. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.35%E +0.524%K +0.621%G +0.021% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.35%E +0.524%K +0.621%G +0.021% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 11:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.929%E +0.149%K +0.177%G +0.002% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +0.122%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.49%E -0.245%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.07I 16.47%NM 15.81%EV -1.98%E -0.326%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.19%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.380%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.380%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 11:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -3.75%E -0.630%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.72%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:08 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -7.95%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -8.76%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 10:58 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 11:07 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 11:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 11:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 10:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 11:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.27%EV -16.19%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.73%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-26 11:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:02 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 1.1% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 2.6% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |
| Novig◎ | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 11:10 |