La scuola delle quote

Thomas Faurel v Valentin Vacherot

Inizio: 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

59 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Thomas Faurel (Casa)

Previsione 16.15%6.19quota equa
EV +3.35%
Vantaggio +0.524%
Kelly +0.621%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.89%16.39%16.19%18.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.685.756.4020.00%17.61%17.39%15.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta)

Previsione 83.85%1.19quota equa
EV -2.73%
Vantaggio -2.36%
Kelly -17.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
81.30%83.61%83.81%85.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.82%87.72%86.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.35%E +0.524%K +0.621%G +0.021%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:10
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.35%E +0.524%K +0.621%G +0.021%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:08
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.929%E +0.149%K +0.177%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +0.122%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Fanatics6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.49%E -0.245%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:10
DraftKings6.07I 16.47%NM 15.81%EV -1.98%E -0.326%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.19%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
BetOnline.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.380%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
LowVig.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.380%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:10
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 11:09
Pinnacle5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -3.75%E -0.630%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Betclic (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.72%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:09
MyBookie.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:08
Betsson5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:10
NordicBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Bally Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:10
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:10
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:10
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -7.95%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
1xBet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -8.76%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:10
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 10:58
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:10
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:07
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:09
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:03
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 11:10
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Fliff5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 11:10
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 10:58
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:09
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:09
GTbets5.19I 19.27%NM 18.27%EV -16.19%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.73%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 11:09
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:10
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:02
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:10
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:10
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-05-26 11:10
Novig5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68%3.0%2026-05-26 11:10