مدرسة الاحتمالات

Thomas Faurel v Valentin Vacherot

البداية: 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Thomas Faurel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 16.15%6.19السعر العادل
EV +3.35%
الأفضلية +0.524%
Kelly +0.621%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.89%16.39%16.19%18.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.685.756.4020.00%17.61%17.39%15.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Valentin Vacherot (الضيف)

التنبؤ 83.85%1.19السعر العادل
EV -2.73%
الأفضلية -2.36%
Kelly -17.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
81.30%83.61%83.81%85.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.111.141.141.1690.09%87.82%87.72%86.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.35%E +0.524%K +0.621%G +0.021%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:10
SportsBet6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.35%E +0.524%K +0.621%G +0.021%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:08
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +0.929%E +0.149%K +0.177%G +0.002%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +0.122%E +0.020%K +0.023%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Fanatics6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -1.49%E -0.245%K -0.293%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 11:10
DraftKings6.07I 16.47%NM 15.81%EV -1.98%E -0.326%K -0.390%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.19%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
BetOnline.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.380%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
LowVig.ag6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -2.30%E -0.380%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:10
Codere (IT)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.09%E -5.43%K -50.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Caesars6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -3.11%E -0.518%K -0.622%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 11:09
Pinnacle5.96I 16.78%NM 16.29%EV -3.75%E -0.630%K -0.757%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.71%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Betclic (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.72%E -0.801%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:09
MyBookie.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:08
Betsson5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:10
NordicBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -6.34%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Bally Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:10
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:10
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -7.15%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:10
NetBet (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -7.95%E -1.40%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:10
1xBet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%EV -8.76%E -1.55%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 11:10
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 10:58
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -9.57%E -1.71%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:10
Bovada5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 11:07
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:09
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 11:03
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -11.18%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.25%E -4.64%K -40.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 11:10
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Fliff5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV -12.80%E -2.37%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -6.93%E -6.24%K -62.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 11:10
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 10:58
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -15.22%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:09
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -16.03%E -3.08%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:09
GTbets5.19I 19.27%NM 18.27%EV -16.19%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.73%EV -2.73%E -2.36%K -17.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 11:09
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:10
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -3.57%E -3.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:02
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:10
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:10
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -19.26%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.41%E -3.87%K -31.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 11:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54%1.1%2026-05-26 11:10
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%2.6%2026-05-26 11:10
Novig5.95I 16.81%NM 16.32%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.68%3.0%2026-05-26 11:10