La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Tallon Griekspoor (Casa)
Previsione 45.07%2.22quota equa
EV +0.513%
Vantaggio +0.230%
Kelly +0.417%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.26%44.99%45.16%46.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.122.102.2350.00%47.10%47.62%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Matteo Arnaldi (Trasferta)
Previsione 54.93%1.82quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.629%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.05%55.01%54.84%57.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.711.711.8062.11%58.45%58.48%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:56 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.589%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 09:02 |
| SportsBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.02%E -6.80%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.82%E -5.31%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.47%E -6.42%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Novig | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |