Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Prévision 45.07%2.22cote équitable
EV +0.513%
Avantage +0.230%
Kelly +0.417%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%44.99%45.16%46.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.102.2350.00%47.10%47.62%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.93%1.82cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.629%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.01%54.84%57.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.711.711.8062.11%58.45%58.48%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tallon Griekspoor (Local) : 45.07% ; Matteo Arnaldi (Visiteur) : 54.93%. Pour Tallon Griekspoor (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.22. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.23, soit une espérance positive de +0.513%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 09:08
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:56
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.589%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 08:59
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 09:09
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:02
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 08:58
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 08:59
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 09:09
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 09:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.02%E -6.80%K -17.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.82%E -5.31%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:09
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.47%E -6.42%K -16.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 09:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-26 09:10