مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi

البداية: 2026-05-26 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tallon Griekspoor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.07%2.22السعر العادل
EV +0.513%
الأفضلية +0.230%
Kelly +0.417%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.26%44.99%45.16%46.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.122.102.2350.00%47.10%47.62%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Matteo Arnaldi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 54.93%1.82السعر العادل
EV -1.13%
الأفضلية -0.629%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.05%55.01%54.84%57.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.611.711.711.8062.11%58.45%58.48%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 09:10
LowVig.ag2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-26 09:10
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 09:08
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:56
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 08:59
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:09
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:10
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.589%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 08:59
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 09:10
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 08:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 09:09
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-26 09:10
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
MyBookie.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 09:02
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 08:58
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 09:10
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 08:59
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 09:09
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 09:04
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 09:09
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:08
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 08:59
Bally Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 09:10
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.02%E -6.80%K -17.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-26 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.82%E -5.31%K -13.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 09:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 09:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:09
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:09
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 09:10
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 09:08
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.47%E -6.42%K -16.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 09:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 09:07
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-26 09:10
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-26 09:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-05-26 09:10
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-26 09:10