La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tallon Griekspoor v Matteo Arnaldi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Predicción 45.07%2.22momio equitativo
EV +0.513%
Ventaja +0.230%
Kelly +0.417%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.26%44.99%45.16%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.102.2350.00%47.10%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Arnaldi (Visitante)
Predicción 54.93%1.82momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.629%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.01%54.84%57.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.711.711.8062.11%58.45%58.48%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +0.513%E +0.230%K +0.417%G +0.002% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -7.17%E -4.24%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:56 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.839%E -0.381%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.57%E -7.18%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.29%E -0.589%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -1.74%E -0.798%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 09:02 |
| SportsBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 08:58 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| BetAnything | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-26 09:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 08:59 |
| Bally Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.02%E -6.80%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -8.82%E -5.31%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 09:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.66%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -10.47%E -6.42%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 09:07 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Novig | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.1% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 09:10 |