Language:English
Raphael Collignon v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Prediction 34.09%2.93fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.538%
Kelly +0.809%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.12%34.26%34.05%36.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9838.46%35.91%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 65.91%1.52fair odd
EV +0.176%
Edge +0.116%
Kelly +0.338%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.11%65.74%65.95%67.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5271.43%69.43%69.44%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Raphael Collignon (Local): 34.09%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 65.91%. For Raphael Collignon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +1.60%E +0.538%K +0.809%G +0.013% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.07%E -5.02%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.443%E -0.152%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.47%E -0.507%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.47%E -0.507%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.81%E -0.627%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.81%E -0.627%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.94%EV -2.15%E -0.748%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.06%EV -7.07%E -5.02%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.49%E -0.870%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:33 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.19%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.78%E -2.59%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:28 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.88%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.22%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 17:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.56%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.78%E -2.59%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +0.176%E +0.116%K +0.338%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |