La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Raphael Collignon v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raphael Collignon (Local)
Predicción 34.09%2.93momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.538%
Kelly +0.809%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.12%34.26%34.05%36.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.802.9838.46%35.91%35.71%33.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 65.91%1.52momio equitativo
EV +0.176%
Ventaja +0.116%
Kelly +0.338%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.11%65.74%65.95%67.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.441.441.5271.43%69.43%69.44%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +1.60%E +0.538%K +0.809%G +0.013% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.07%E -5.02%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.443%E -0.152%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.47%E -0.507%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.47%E -0.507%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.81%E -0.627%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.81%E -0.627%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.94%EV -2.15%E -0.748%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.06%EV -7.07%E -5.02%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.49%E -0.870%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:33 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.19%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.78%E -2.59%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Fanatics | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 17:28 |
| GTbets | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.88%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:09 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.22%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 17:28 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.56%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:39 |
| Everygame | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| TAB | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Caesars | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.78%E -2.59%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Fliff | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Neds | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betsson | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Coral | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +0.176%E +0.116%K +0.338%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 17:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 10:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 17:39 |
| Smarkets | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 17:30 |