L’École des cotes

Raphael Collignon v Ben Shelton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Raphael Collignon (Local)

Prévision 34.09%2.93cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.538%
Kelly +0.809%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.12%34.26%34.05%36.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.802.9838.46%35.91%35.71%33.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ben Shelton (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.91%1.52cote équitable
EV +0.176%
Avantage +0.116%
Kelly +0.338%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.11%65.74%65.95%67.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.5271.43%69.43%69.44%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV +1.60%E +0.538%K +0.809%G +0.013%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -7.07%E -5.02%K -17.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 17:39
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -0.443%E -0.152%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-28 17:39
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.47%E -0.507%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 17:29
BetOnline.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.47%E -0.507%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-28 17:30
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.81%E -0.627%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.81%E -0.627%K -0.961%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 17:39
DraftKings2.87I 34.84%NM 32.94%EV -2.15%E -0.748%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.06%EV -7.07%E -5.02%K -17.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:00
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -2.49%E -0.870%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-28 17:19
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-28 17:19
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 17:35
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 17:38
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:40
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:38
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:38
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:38
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:38
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:33
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:38
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.83%E -0.993%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 17:39
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -4.19%E -1.49%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 17:19
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-28 17:19
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 17:19
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.78%E -2.59%K -8.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 17:19
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 17:38
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 17:39
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 17:19
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 17:38
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 17:39
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 17:38
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.53%E -1.62%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 17:28
GTbets2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -4.88%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:09
MyBookie.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.22%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 17:28
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.56%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 17:19
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:39
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:19
TAB2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:19
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:19
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:19
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:19
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:18
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 17:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 17:39
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.41%E -4.52%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 17:30
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.24%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 17:38
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.78%E -2.59%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 17:19
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.44%E -3.06%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 16:59
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.76%E -4.02%K -13.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 17:19
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.94%E -2.94%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.73%E -5.52%K -19.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:59
Neds2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.46%E -1.66%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:59
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:38
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:39
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.65%E -3.64%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 17:39
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.07%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.10%E -3.54%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +0.176%E +0.116%K +0.338%G +0.001%4.3%2026-05-28 17:19
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.35%E -4.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -3.12%E -2.12%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.67%0.7%2026-05-28 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-28 17:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-28 17:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-05-28 17:39
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-05-28 17:39
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%2.3%2026-05-28 17:30