A Escola das Odds

Quentin Halys v Mattia Bellucci

Início: 2026-05-24 15:26 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Previsão 58.15%1.72odd justa
EV +2.92%
Vantagem +1.65%
Kelly +3.79%
Crescimento +0.111%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.26%58.02%58.14%60.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.651.651.7764.10%60.48%60.79%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)

Previsão 41.85%2.39odd justa
EV +1.28%
Vantagem +0.530%
Kelly +0.904%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%41.98%41.86%45.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.222.252.4250.00%45.08%44.44%41.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +2.92%E +1.65%K +3.79%G +0.111%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:14
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -1.15%E -0.676%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.40%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.76%E -4.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:17
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 15:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:14
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:14
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:14
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -13.78%E -6.69%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -14.62%E -7.17%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:19
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:19
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:14
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:14
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -14.20%E -6.93%K -13.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:14
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:14
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -16.29%E -8.15%K -16.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:13
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +1.28%E +0.530%K +0.904%G +0.012%3.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.16%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:13
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:13
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:13
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 15:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-05-24 15:20