La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Quentin Halys v Mattia Bellucci
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Quentin Halys (Local)
Predicción 58.15%1.72momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +3.79%
Crecimiento +0.111%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%58.02%58.14%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.651.7764.10%60.48%60.79%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mattia Bellucci (Visitante)
Predicción 41.85%2.39momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.530%
Kelly +0.904%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.98%41.86%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.252.4250.00%45.08%44.44%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +2.92%E +1.65%K +3.79%G +0.111% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -1.15%E -0.676%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.40%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.76%E -4.02%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:17 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 15:15 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -13.78%E -6.69%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -14.62%E -7.17%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| BetAnything | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -14.20%E -6.93%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -16.29%E -8.15%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 15:13 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +1.28%E +0.530%K +0.904%G +0.012% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.16%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:13 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:13 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 15:13 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 15:14 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 15:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |
| Novig | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 15:20 |