مدرسة الاحتمالات

Quentin Halys v Mattia Bellucci

البداية: 2026-05-24 15:26 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Quentin Halys (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.15%1.72السعر العادل
EV +2.92%
الأفضلية +1.65%
Kelly +3.79%
النمو +0.111%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.26%58.02%58.14%60.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.651.651.7764.10%60.48%60.79%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mattia Bellucci (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.85%2.39السعر العادل
EV +1.28%
الأفضلية +0.530%
Kelly +0.904%
النمو +0.012%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.42

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.75%41.98%41.86%45.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.222.252.4250.00%45.08%44.44%41.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +2.92%E +1.65%K +3.79%G +0.111%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:14
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -1.15%E -0.676%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.40%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.76%E -4.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:17
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 15:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:14
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:14
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:14
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -13.78%E -6.69%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -14.62%E -7.17%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:19
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:19
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:14
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:14
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -14.20%E -6.93%K -13.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:14
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:14
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -16.29%E -8.15%K -16.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:13
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +1.28%E +0.530%K +0.904%G +0.012%3.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.16%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:13
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:13
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:13
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 15:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-05-24 15:20