L’École des cotes

Quentin Halys v Mattia Bellucci

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 15:26 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 58.15%1.72cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +1.65%
Kelly +3.79%
Croissance +0.111%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.26%58.02%58.14%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.651.7764.10%60.48%60.79%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mattia Bellucci (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.85%2.39cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.530%
Kelly +0.904%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.98%41.86%45.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.252.4250.00%45.08%44.44%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV +2.92%E +1.65%K +3.79%G +0.111%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:20
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:14
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +1.18%E +0.676%K +1.59%G +0.019%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 15:19
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV +0.595%E +0.344%K +0.815%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -11.27%E -5.32%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 15:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -0.568%E -0.332%K -0.800%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -12.95%E -6.22%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -1.15%E -0.676%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -7.51%E -3.40%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:10
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -8.76%E -4.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:17
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 15:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:14
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -6.67%E -2.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 15:14
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:14
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -13.78%E -6.69%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -2.31%E -1.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -14.62%E -7.17%K -14.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:20
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:19
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:19
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 15:14
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 15:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.48%E -2.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:14
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -12.11%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -4.06%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -14.20%E -6.93%K -13.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -1.65%E -0.700%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-24 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.48%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.41%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:14
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:14
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -4.64%E -2.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -16.29%E -8.15%K -16.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 15:20
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -7.09%E -3.19%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 15:13
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +1.28%E +0.530%K +0.904%G +0.012%3.1%2026-05-24 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.16%E -1.82%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:13
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:19
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.99%E -2.20%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:13
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 15:13
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.74%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 15:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 15:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -0.390%E -0.164%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -9.29%E -5.96%K -16.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -5.83%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 15:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-05-24 15:20
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-05-24 15:20
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-05-24 15:20