StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Moise Kouame v Alejandro Tabilo

Matchstart: 2026-05-30 14:15 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Moise Kouame (Hemma)

Prognos 21.78%4.59rättvist odds
EV +2.36%
Fördel +0.503%
Kelly +0.638%
Tillväxt +0.015%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.20%21.87%21.74%24.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.954.354.404.7025.32%22.99%22.73%21.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Borta)

Prognos 78.22%1.28rättvist odds
EV -2.22%
Fördel -1.78%
Kelly -8.90%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.96%78.13%78.26%79.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.191.221.221.2584.03%82.16%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Moise Kouame (Hemma): 21.78%; Alejandro Tabilo (Borta): 78.22%. För Moise Kouame (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.59. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.36%E +0.503%K +0.638%G +0.015%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.92%E -5.81%K -36.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:02
FanDuel🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.27%E +0.274%K +0.349%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 14:08
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.184%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.184%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.12%E -0.247%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.12%E -0.247%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Pinnacle🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:09
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:07
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:07
Unibet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.79%E -3.08%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:08
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:10
Betsson🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:10
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.26%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.26%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
GTbets🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:10
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:10
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 14:09
Everygame🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:09
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Fliff🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 14:10
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:10
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:10
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -11.58%E -2.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 14:04
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.97%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig4.57I 21.88%NM 21.75%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-05-30 14:10