L’École des cotes

Moise Kouame v Alejandro Tabilo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 14:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Moise Kouame (Local)

Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +0.503%
Kelly +0.638%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.20%21.87%21.74%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.354.404.7025.32%22.99%22.73%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.22%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -8.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.96%78.13%78.26%79.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.221.221.2584.03%82.16%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.36%E +0.503%K +0.638%G +0.015%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.92%E -5.81%K -36.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:02
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.27%E +0.274%K +0.349%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 14:08
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.184%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 14:09
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.184%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 14:09
BetOnline.ag4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.12%E -0.247%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
LowVig.ag4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.12%E -0.247%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Pinnacle4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:09
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:07
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:07
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 14:10
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.79%E -3.08%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:08
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:10
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:10
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:10
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.26%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.26%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
GTbets4.34I 23.04%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:09
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:10
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:10
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:10
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 14:09
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:09
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Fliff4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 14:10
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:10
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:10
1xBet4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -11.58%E -2.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 14:04
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.97%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig4.57I 21.88%NM 21.75%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-05-30 14:10