La scuola delle quote

Moise Kouame v Alejandro Tabilo

Inizio: 2026-05-30 14:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Moise Kouame (Casa)

Previsione 21.78%4.59quota equa
EV +2.36%
Vantaggio +0.503%
Kelly +0.638%
Crescita +0.015%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.20%21.87%21.74%24.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.354.404.7025.32%22.99%22.73%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)

Previsione 78.22%1.28quota equa
EV -2.22%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -8.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.96%78.13%78.26%79.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.191.221.221.2584.03%82.16%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV +2.36%E +0.503%K +0.638%G +0.015%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.92%E -5.81%K -36.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:02
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +1.27%E +0.274%K +0.349%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 14:08
Winamax (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.184%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 14:09
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.184%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 14:09
BetOnline.ag4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.12%E -0.247%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
LowVig.ag4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.12%E -0.247%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Pinnacle4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Codere (IT)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:09
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 14:10
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:07
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.99%E -0.443%K -0.570%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:07
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 14:10
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.79%E -3.08%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 14:08
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:10
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 14:10
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.17%E -0.948%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 14:10
Fanatics4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.26%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -5.26%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
GTbets4.34I 23.04%NM 21.94%EV -5.48%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
MyBookie.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:10
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 14:09
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:10
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.35%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Bovada4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 14:10
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:10
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.44%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 14:10
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 14:09
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:09
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 14:10
Fliff4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.35%E -4.42%K -25.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 14:10
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.53%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:10
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 14:10
1xBet4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -11.58%E -2.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.01%E -2.42%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.57%E -3.75%K -20.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.88%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.14%E -5.11%K -30.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 14:04
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.97%E -3.54%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.22%E -1.78%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig4.57I 21.88%NM 21.75%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.25%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-05-30 14:10
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%2.4%2026-05-30 14:10