Language:English
Luca Van Assche v Patrick Kypson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Luca Van Assche (Local)
Prediction 52.62%1.90fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%52.52%52.63%53.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.811.811.8757.14%55.27%55.25%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Patrick Kypson (Visit)
Prediction 47.38%2.11fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.44%47.48%47.37%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.002.002.0652.36%50.12%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Luca Van Assche (Local): 52.62%; Patrick Kypson (Visit): 47.38%. For Luca Van Assche (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.60%E -0.856%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.40%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 06:27 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 06:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 06:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 06:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 06:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.71%E -2.87%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 09:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 04:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 06:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 06:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.34%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 07:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.92%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 07:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 08:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |