La escuela de los momios

Luca Van Assche v Patrick Kypson

Inicio: 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Luca Van Assche (Local)

Predicción 52.62%1.90momio equitativo
EV -1.60%
Ventaja -0.856%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.48%52.52%52.63%53.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.811.811.8757.14%55.27%55.25%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Patrick Kypson (Visitante)

Predicción 47.38%2.11momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.44%47.48%47.37%48.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.002.002.0652.36%50.12%50.00%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.60%E -0.856%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:40
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:50
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.40%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 08:40
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 06:27
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:40
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:30
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:30
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 07:50
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 06:30
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 07:10
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 07:10
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 06:29
Betsson1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 06:29
NordicBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:49
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.71%E -2.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:50
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 09:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 06:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:50
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:50
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 06:30
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 04:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 08:30
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 06:49
PMU (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 06:50
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.34%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 07:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 10:46
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.92%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 07:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-25 08:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%4.4%2026-05-25 08:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%6.1%2026-05-25 08:40