Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Luca Van Assche v Patrick Kypson

Início: 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Luca Van Assche (Local)

Previsão 52.62%1.90odd justa
EV -1.60%
Vantagem -0.856%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.87

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.48%52.52%52.63%53.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.811.811.8757.14%55.27%55.25%53.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Patrick Kypson (Visitante)

Previsão 47.38%2.11odd justa
EV -2.40%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.44%47.48%47.37%48.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.0652.36%50.12%50.00%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Luca Van Assche (Local): 52.62%; Patrick Kypson (Visitante): 47.38%. Para Luca Van Assche (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.90. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.87, com valor esperado de -1.60%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -1.60%E -0.856%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 08:40
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.13%E -1.14%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -3.18%E -1.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -2.40%E -1.16%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 06:27
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:40
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.13%E -3.64%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.71%E -2.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -2.87%E -1.40%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 07:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 06:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.23%E -2.33%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 06:29
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 06:29
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.77%E -2.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:49
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.76%E -2.63%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.71%E -2.87%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:50
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 09:20
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.29%E -2.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:50
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 06:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:50
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 06:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 07:10
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 04:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.28%E -2.94%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.50%E -4.98%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 06:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.81%E -3.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -6.66%E -3.38%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 06:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.34%E -3.56%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.19%E -3.12%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.86%E -3.88%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.24%E -2.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 10:46
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -7.39%E -4.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -3.82%E -1.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.92%E -4.52%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.61%E -3.90%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 07:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%0.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Novig1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-05-25 08:00
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%4.4%2026-05-25 08:50
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%6.1%2026-05-25 08:40