A Escola das Odds

Lorenzo Sonego v Tommy Paul

Início: 2026-05-27 18:01 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Previsão 15.86%6.31odd justa
EV +3.08%
Vantagem +0.474%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.47%15.97%15.73%18.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.865.806.5020.00%17.07%17.24%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 84.14%1.19odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -9.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.43%84.03%84.27%85.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.31%88.50%85.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 17:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 17:50
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:39
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:40
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:39
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:40
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.44%E -6.77%K -74.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 17:40
DraftKings6.47I 15.46%NM 14.87%EV +2.61%E +0.403%K +0.477%G +0.012%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.13%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 17:50
FanDuel6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.50%E +0.234%K +0.277%G +0.004%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 17:40
Pinnacle6.27I 15.95%NM 15.50%EV -0.565%E -0.090%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.50%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 17:40
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -0.882%E -0.141%K -0.168%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Codere (IT)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.68%E -0.270%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 17:40
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 17:39
Betway6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:39
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:50
Betclic (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:38
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:50
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 17:40
1xBet5.97I 16.75%NM 16.39%EV -5.32%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.61%EV -1.55%E -1.33%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 17:39
LowVig.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.48%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:40
BetOnline.ag5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.48%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 17:39
Unibet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 17:39
MyBookie.ag5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 17:39
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 17:50
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 17:50
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 17:40
Fliff5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 17:40
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:39
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:39
TABtouch5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:39
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:39
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Bally Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 17:40
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 17:39
Hard Rock Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 17:40
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 17:39
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 17:40
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 17:40
Marathon Bet5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -10.40%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 17:39
GTbets5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01%EV -11.82%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.99%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 17:39
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 17:39
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 17:39
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 17:39
BetAnything5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 17:40
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:40
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:39
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:40
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:40
Coral5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 17:39
Neds5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.36%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.36%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 17:39
Caesars5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.71%E -4.14%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-27 17:38
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.71%E -4.14%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68%1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32%0.2%2026-05-27 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-05-27 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-05-27 17:40
Matchbook6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-05-27 17:40
Novig6.54I 15.29%NM 15.06%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.94%1.5%2026-05-27 17:50
Smarkets6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36%1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64%2.4%2026-05-27 17:50