L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Lorenzo Sonego v Tommy Paul
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Prévision 15.86%6.31cote équitable
EV +3.08%
Avantage +0.474%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 6.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.47%15.97%15.73%18.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.865.806.5020.00%17.07%17.24%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tommy Paul (Visiteur)
Prévision 84.14%1.19cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -9.15%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.43%84.03%84.27%85.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.31%88.50%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.44%E -6.77%K -74.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.87%EV +2.61%E +0.403%K +0.477%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.13%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.50%E +0.234%K +0.277%G +0.004% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.50%EV -0.565%E -0.090%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.50%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -0.882%E -0.141%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.68%E -0.270%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:38 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.39%EV -5.32%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.61%EV -1.55%E -1.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.48%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.48%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Fliff | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Bally Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -10.40%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| GTbets | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01%EV -11.82%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.99%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.36%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.36%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.71%E -4.14%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 17:38 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.71%E -4.14%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Novig | 6.54I 15.29%NM 15.06% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.94% | 1.5% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |