La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Sonego v Tommy Paul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Sonego (Local)
Predicción 15.86%6.31momio equitativo
EV +3.08%
Ventaja +0.474%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.47%15.97%15.73%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.865.806.5020.00%17.07%17.24%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Tommy Paul (Visitante)
Predicción 84.14%1.19momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -9.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%84.03%84.27%85.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.31%88.50%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +3.08%E +0.474%K +0.560%G +0.017% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.44%E -6.77%K -74.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| DraftKings | 6.47I 15.46%NM 14.87%EV +2.61%E +0.403%K +0.477%G +0.012% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.13%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| FanDuel | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +1.50%E +0.234%K +0.277%G +0.004% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.50%EV -0.565%E -0.090%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.50%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV -0.882%E -0.141%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV -1.68%E -0.270%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Bet Right | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betway | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:38 |
| Fanatics | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| BetUS | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.85%E -0.808%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.60%E -5.95%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 5.97I 16.75%NM 16.39%EV -5.32%E -0.892%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.61%EV -1.55%E -1.33%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.48%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -5.48%E -0.920%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Fliff | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -6.43%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.05%EV -5.76%E -5.14%K -48.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| LeoVegas | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| TABtouch | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Bally Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -8.02%E -1.38%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Bovada | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| theScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -8.81%E -1.53%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -10.40%E -1.84%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| GTbets | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01%EV -11.82%E -2.13%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.99%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| BetAnything | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -12.78%E -2.32%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Neds | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.36%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -14.36%E -2.66%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -3.24%E -2.82%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Caesars | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -20.71%E -4.14%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.08%E -3.58%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-27 17:38 |
| Bet Victor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -20.71%E -4.14%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -4.92%E -4.35%K -37.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.68% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.32% | 0.2% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-05-27 17:40 |
| Novig | 6.54I 15.29%NM 15.06% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.94% | 1.5% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.36% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.64% | 2.4% | 2026-05-27 17:50 |