Language:English
Kyrian Jacquet v Marco Trungelliti
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kyrian Jacquet (Local)
Prediction 55.58%1.80fair odd
EV +1.15%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.35%55.64%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.691.8261.73%58.76%59.35%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marco Trungelliti (Visit)
Prediction 44.42%2.25fair odd
EV -0.052%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.042%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%44.65%44.36%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.57%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kyrian Jacquet (Local): 55.58%; Marco Trungelliti (Visit): 44.42%. For Kyrian Jacquet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV +1.15%E +0.634%K +1.41%G +0.016% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV +0.598%E +0.330%K +0.738%G +0.004% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -8.49%E -4.12%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.07%E -0.601%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.29%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.29%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -1.83%E -0.828%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.38%E -0.624%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:37 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:37 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 10:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 10:37 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-24 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.41%E -5.77%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.96%E -6.15%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-05-24 10:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25% | 3.7% | 2026-05-24 10:39 |