La escuela de los momios

Kyrian Jacquet v Marco Trungelliti

Inicio: 2026-05-24 10:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kyrian Jacquet (Local)

Predicción 55.58%1.80momio equitativo
EV +1.15%
Ventaja +0.634%
Kelly +1.41%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.35%55.64%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.691.8261.73%58.76%59.35%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marco Trungelliti (Visitante)

Predicción 44.42%2.25momio equitativo
EV -0.052%
Ventaja -0.023%
Kelly -0.042%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.86%44.65%44.36%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.57%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV +1.15%E +0.634%K +1.41%G +0.016%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV +0.598%E +0.330%K +0.738%G +0.004%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -8.49%E -4.12%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 10:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 10:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.07%E -0.601%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 10:39
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 10:29
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 10:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:39
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.29%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 10:29
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.29%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 10:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 10:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 10:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 10:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 10:29
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -1.83%E -0.828%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 10:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:29
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:30
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 10:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 10:29
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 10:29
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 10:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.38%E -0.624%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:37
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:37
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 10:29
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:29
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 10:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 10:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 10:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 10:28
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:37
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.41%E -5.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.96%E -6.15%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 10:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-05-24 10:39