La scuola delle quote

Kyrian Jacquet v Marco Trungelliti

Inizio: 2026-05-24 10:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kyrian Jacquet (Casa)

Previsione 55.58%1.80quota equa
EV +1.15%
Vantaggio +0.634%
Kelly +1.41%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%55.35%55.64%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.701.691.8261.73%58.76%59.35%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marco Trungelliti (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.42%2.25quota equa
EV -0.052%
Vantaggio -0.023%
Kelly -0.042%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.86%44.65%44.36%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.57%46.51%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV +1.15%E +0.634%K +1.41%G +0.016%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV +0.598%E +0.330%K +0.738%G +0.004%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -8.49%E -4.12%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 10:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 10:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 10:30
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.07%E -0.601%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 10:39
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.18%E -1.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-24 10:29
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-24 10:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.74%E -1.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.16%E -5.58%K -11.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:39
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.29%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 10:29
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.29%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.94%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 10:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 10:30
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-24 10:30
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.40%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:30
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.94%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 10:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 10:29
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -1.83%E -0.828%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 10:30
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:29
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:30
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 10:40
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.24%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 10:29
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-24 10:29
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 10:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.38%E -0.624%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 10:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:37
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:37
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:39
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 10:40
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.72%E -1.24%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 10:29
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 10:30
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 10:29
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.83%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 10:30
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 10:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 10:30
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.16%E -1.45%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 10:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 10:28
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.18%E -4.30%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:37
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.74%E -4.66%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -4.05%E -1.88%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 10:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -9.41%E -5.77%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -6.72%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 10:39
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.96%E -6.15%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.052%E -0.023%K -0.042%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 10:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-24 10:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-05-24 10:40
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%3.7%2026-05-24 10:39