Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov v Marco Trungelliti

Início: 2026-05-27 09:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Previsão 76.54%1.31odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.976%
Kelly -4.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.49%76.40%76.56%78.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.201.241.251.2983.33%80.57%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Marco Trungelliti (Visitante)

Previsão 23.46%4.26odd justa
EV +5.55%
Vantagem +1.23%
Kelly +1.59%
Crescimento +0.088%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.05%23.60%23.44%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.84%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Karen Khachanov (Local): 76.54%; Marco Trungelliti (Visitante): 23.46%. Para Marco Trungelliti (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:08
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +4.38%E +0.985%K +1.27%G +0.056%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.58%EV +1.33%E +0.308%K +0.401%G +0.005%2.5%2026-05-27 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.863%E +0.201%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.9%2026-05-27 09:00
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:59
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.66%E -0.640%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 09:10
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 08:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.79%E -2.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:07
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:59
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -6.41%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 08:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 08:53
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Fliff🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 09:09
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.45%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -11.33%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 09:10
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 08:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.26%E -0.976%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.25%E -5.96%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 08:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-27 09:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-27 09:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-05-27 09:10