مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karen Khachanov v Marco Trungelliti

البداية: 2026-05-27 09:17 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karen Khachanov (المضيف)

التنبؤ 76.54%1.31السعر العادل
EV -1.26%
الأفضلية -0.976%
Kelly -4.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.49%76.40%76.56%78.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.241.251.2983.33%80.57%80.00%77.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marco Trungelliti (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.46%4.26السعر العادل
EV +5.55%
الأفضلية +1.23%
Kelly +1.59%
النمو +0.088%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.05%23.60%23.44%27.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.84%25.00%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:08
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +4.38%E +0.985%K +1.27%G +0.056%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.58%EV +1.33%E +0.308%K +0.401%G +0.005%2.5%2026-05-27 09:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.863%E +0.201%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.9%2026-05-27 09:00
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:59
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.66%E -0.640%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 09:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:00
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:09
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 08:59
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.79%E -2.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:07
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:59
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -6.41%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 09:00
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 08:53
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 09:09
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.45%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -11.33%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 09:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 08:59
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:00
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.26%E -0.976%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.25%E -5.96%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 08:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-27 09:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-27 09:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-05-27 09:10