La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karen Khachanov v Marco Trungelliti
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Predicción 76.54%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -4.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.49%76.40%76.56%78.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.241.251.2983.33%80.57%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marco Trungelliti (Visitante)
Predicción 23.46%4.26momio equitativo
EV +5.55%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.088%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%23.60%23.44%27.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.84%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:08 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +4.38%E +0.985%K +1.27%G +0.056% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.58%EV +1.33%E +0.308%K +0.401%G +0.005% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.863%E +0.201%K +0.262%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.66%E -0.640%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 09:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.79%E -2.20%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:07 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -6.41%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 08:53 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Fliff | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-27 09:09 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.45%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -11.33%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.26%E -0.976%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.25%E -5.96%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69% | 1.3% | 2026-05-27 09:10 |