L’École des cotes

Karen Khachanov v Marco Trungelliti

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 09:17 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Prévision 76.54%1.31cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.976%
Kelly -4.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%76.40%76.56%78.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.241.251.2983.33%80.57%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Marco Trungelliti (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV +5.55%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.088%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%23.60%23.44%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.84%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:08
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +5.55%E +1.23%K +1.59%G +0.088%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +4.38%E +0.985%K +1.27%G +0.056%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 77.42%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.58%EV +1.33%E +0.308%K +0.401%G +0.005%2.5%2026-05-27 09:00
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +0.863%E +0.201%K +0.262%G +0.002%3.9%2026-05-27 09:00
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:59
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -0.310%E -0.073%K -0.095%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.48%E -0.353%K -0.463%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -2.66%E -0.640%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 09:10
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:00
MyBookie.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:09
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 08:59
Betr (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -5.94%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -2.79%E -2.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:07
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:59
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -6.41%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 09:00
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.95%EV -3.56%E -2.82%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.05%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 08:53
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.09%E -4.10%K -21.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -9.69%E -2.52%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 09:09
TAB1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -10.87%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.45%EV -5.85%E -4.76%K -25.44%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.55%EV -11.33%E -3.00%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 09:10
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.62%E -5.42%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 08:59
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -8.15%E -6.79%K -40.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -2.02%E -1.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:00
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.32%E -3.46%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -1.26%E -0.976%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -20.25%E -5.96%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 08:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-27 09:10
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-05-27 09:10
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.31%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.69%1.3%2026-05-27 09:10