Language:English
Jesper De Jong v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jesper De Jong (Local)
Prediction 9.97%10.03fair odd
EV +25.67%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.568%
assuming max odds 12.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.76%10.07%10.15%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.459.0012.6014.29%10.58%11.11%7.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 90.03%1.11fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -34.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%89.93%89.85%92.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.04%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jesper De Jong (Local): 9.97%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 90.03%. For Jesper De Jong (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.03. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.76%EV +25.67%E +2.04%K +2.21%G +0.568% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.24%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.24I 8.90%NM 8.62%EV +12.11%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.143% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.38%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV +10.81%E +0.973%K +1.07%G +0.116% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV +10.81%E +0.973%K +1.07%G +0.116% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 13:48 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV +7.22%E +0.671%K +0.740%G +0.053% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +2.23%E +0.218%K +0.241%G +0.005% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.69%EV -0.561%E -0.056%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.31%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.96I 10.04%NM 9.62%EV -0.661%E -0.066%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.38%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -0.761%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 13:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -7.74%E -0.837%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -7.74%E -0.837%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 13:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-31 13:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.27%E -7.06%K -242.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.77%E -2.57%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 13:48 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.18%E -4.31%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.77%E -2.57%K -34.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-31 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 1.7% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 8.85I 11.30%NM 10.88% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.12% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 13:50 |