Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jesper De Jong v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-05-31 13:52 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jesper De Jong (Local)

Previsão 9.97%10.03odd justa
EV +25.67%
Vantagem +2.04%
Kelly +2.21%
Crescimento +0.568%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.76%10.07%10.15%13.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.009.459.0012.6014.29%10.58%11.11%7.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 90.03%1.11odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -2.57%
Kelly -34.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.63%89.93%89.85%92.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.04%95.24%92.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jesper De Jong (Local): 9.97%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 90.03%. Para Jesper De Jong (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 10.03. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 12.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +25.67%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯12.60I 7.94%NM 7.76%EV +25.67%E +2.04%K +2.21%G +0.568%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.24%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 13:50
888sport🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Pinnacle🎯11.24I 8.90%NM 8.62%EV +12.11%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.143%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.38%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV +10.81%E +0.973%K +1.07%G +0.116%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV +10.81%E +0.973%K +1.07%G +0.116%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 13:48
Codere (IT)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 13:40
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:33
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV +7.22%E +0.671%K +0.740%G +0.053%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +2.23%E +0.218%K +0.241%G +0.005%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:50
Fliff🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 13:50
GTbets🎯9.97I 10.03%NM 9.69%EV -0.561%E -0.056%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.31%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-31 13:40
1xBet🎯9.96I 10.04%NM 9.62%EV -0.661%E -0.066%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.38%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 13:40
BetAnything🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -0.761%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 13:34
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Coolbet🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -7.74%E -0.837%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:50
NordicBet🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -7.74%E -0.837%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 13:50
PlayUp🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:50
Everygame🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:29
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.27%E -7.06%K -242.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 13:50
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.77%E -2.57%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 13:50
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 13:50
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:48
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.18%E -4.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.77%E -2.57%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 13:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%1.7%2026-05-31 13:50
Novig8.85I 11.30%NM 10.88%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.12%3.9%2026-05-31 13:50