StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jesper De Jong v Alexander Zverev

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-31 13:52 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Jesper De Jong (Heim)

Prognose 9.97%10.03faire Quote
EV +25.67%
Vorteil +2.04%
Kelly +2.21%
Wachstum +0.568%

bei einer Höchstquote von 12.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
7.76%10.07%10.15%13.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.009.459.0012.6014.29%10.58%11.11%7.94%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alexander Zverev (Auswärts)

Prognose 90.03%1.11faire Quote
EV -2.77%
Vorteil -2.57%
Kelly -34.65%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.08

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.63%89.93%89.85%92.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.04%95.24%92.59%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Jesper De Jong (Heim): 9.97%; Alexander Zverev (Auswärts): 90.03%. Für Jesper De Jong (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 10.03. 14 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 12.60 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +25.67%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
DraftKings🎯12.60I 7.94%NM 7.76%EV +25.67%E +2.04%K +2.21%G +0.568%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.24%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 13:50
888sport🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +19.69%E +1.64%K +1.79%G +0.352%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Pinnacle🎯11.24I 8.90%NM 8.62%EV +12.11%E +1.08%K +1.18%G +0.143%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.38%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV +10.81%E +0.973%K +1.07%G +0.116%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯11.11I 9.00%NM 8.63%EV +10.81%E +0.973%K +1.07%G +0.116%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.37%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 13:48
Codere (IT)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 13:40
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Bet Right🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:33
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.71%E +0.883%K +0.971%G +0.094%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV +7.22%E +0.671%K +0.740%G +0.053%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:29
MyBookie.ag🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +2.23%E +0.218%K +0.241%G +0.005%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Bovada🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:50
Fliff🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -0.262%E -0.026%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 13:50
GTbets🎯9.97I 10.03%NM 9.69%EV -0.561%E -0.056%K -0.063%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.31%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-31 13:40
1xBet🎯9.96I 10.04%NM 9.62%EV -0.661%E -0.066%K -0.074%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.38%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 13:40
BetAnything🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -0.761%E -0.076%K -0.085%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 13:34
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
BetRivers🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:33
Hard Rock Bet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.25%E -0.553%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Coolbet🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -7.74%E -0.837%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 13:50
NordicBet🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -7.74%E -0.837%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 13:50
PlayUp🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
theScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 13:50
Betsson🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:50
Everygame🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:29
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.24%E -1.14%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.27%E -7.06%K -242.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 13:50
FanDuel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
Bally Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-31 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -15.22%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.37%E -6.13%K -159.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 13:50
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.77%E -2.57%K -34.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 13:50
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.57%E -4.31%K -76.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 13:50
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.21%E -2.53%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.47%E -5.21%K -109.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 13:50
TAB🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.67%E -3.43%K -52.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-31 13:48
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -25.20%E -3.36%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -8.17%E -8.01%K -408.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 13:50
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.18%E -4.31%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.77%E -2.57%K -34.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 13:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Matchbook11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-05-31 13:50
Smarkets11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06%1.7%2026-05-31 13:50
Novig8.85I 11.30%NM 10.88%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.12%3.9%2026-05-31 13:50