Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jannik Sinner v Clement Tabur

Kickoff: 2026-05-26 19:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prediction 97.13%1.03fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -190.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
93.38%96.76%97.12%99.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.44%99.01%99.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clement Tabur (Visit)

Prediction 2.87%34.80fair odd
EV +190.24%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +3.62%

assuming max odds 101.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.98%3.24%2.88%6.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
14.2532.5927.50101.007.02%3.07%3.64%0.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jannik Sinner (Local): 97.13%; Clement Tabur (Visit): 2.87%. For Clement Tabur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 34.80. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 101.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +190.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +190.24%E +1.88%K +1.90%G +3.62%1.0%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +92.53%E +1.38%K +1.40%G +1.30%1.5%2026-05-26 18:14
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +92.53%E +1.38%K +1.40%G +1.30%1.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Coral🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:07
Pinnacle🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.33%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%58.89I 1.70%NM 1.67%EV +69.23%E +1.18%K +1.20%G +0.828%1.7%2026-05-26 18:20
1xBet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +46.56%E +0.913%K +0.931%G +0.433%2.0%2026-05-26 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +46.56%E +0.913%K +0.931%G +0.433%2.0%2026-05-26 18:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%EV +43.68%E +0.874%K +0.891%G +0.389%1.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%EV +43.68%E +0.874%K +0.891%G +0.389%1.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +32.19%E +0.700%K +0.715%G +0.230%2.2%2026-05-26 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +17.82%E +0.435%K +0.445%G +0.079%2.4%2026-05-26 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +17.82%E +0.435%K +0.445%G +0.079%2.4%2026-05-26 18:20
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 18:40
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -10.92%E -0.352%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 18:14
Caesars🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -10.92%E -0.352%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV -25.28%E -0.972%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:32
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -28.16%E -1.13%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -28.16%E -1.13%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:13
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -46.84%E -2.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Casumo🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
betPARX🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Betway🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 18:28
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -54.02%E -3.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:12
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -54.02%E -3.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -55.46%E -3.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 18:14
Everygame🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -56.90%E -3.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -59.05%E -4.14%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 98.72%76.92I 1.30%NM 1.28%1.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%2.0%2026-05-26 18:37