A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Clement Tabur

Início: 2026-05-26 19:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 97.13%1.03odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -190.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
93.38%96.76%97.12%99.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.44%99.01%99.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Clement Tabur (Visitante)

Previsão 2.87%34.80odd justa
EV +190.24%
Vantagem +1.88%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescimento +3.62%

pressupondo odds máximas de 101.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
0.98%3.24%2.88%6.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
14.2532.5927.50101.007.02%3.07%3.64%0.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +190.24%E +1.88%K +1.90%G +3.62%1.0%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +92.53%E +1.38%K +1.40%G +1.30%1.5%2026-05-26 18:14
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +92.53%E +1.38%K +1.40%G +1.30%1.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Coral1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:40
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:39
SportsBet1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:07
Pinnacle1.00I 100.00%NM 98.33%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%58.89I 1.70%NM 1.67%EV +69.23%E +1.18%K +1.20%G +0.828%1.7%2026-05-26 18:20
1xBet1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +46.56%E +0.913%K +0.931%G +0.433%2.0%2026-05-26 18:19
theScore Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +46.56%E +0.913%K +0.931%G +0.433%2.0%2026-05-26 18:13
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%EV +43.68%E +0.874%K +0.891%G +0.389%1.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%EV +43.68%E +0.874%K +0.891%G +0.389%1.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +32.19%E +0.700%K +0.715%G +0.230%2.2%2026-05-26 18:40
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +17.82%E +0.435%K +0.445%G +0.079%2.4%2026-05-26 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +17.82%E +0.435%K +0.445%G +0.079%2.4%2026-05-26 18:20
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 18:40
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Bet Victor1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -10.92%E -0.352%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 18:14
Caesars1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -10.92%E -0.352%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV -25.28%E -0.972%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:32
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -28.16%E -1.13%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -28.16%E -1.13%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:13
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -46.84%E -2.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Bet Right1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Betway1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 18:28
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -54.02%E -3.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:12
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -54.02%E -3.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:14
Marathon Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -55.46%E -3.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 18:14
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -56.90%E -3.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:14
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -59.05%E -4.14%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (2)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 98.72%76.92I 1.30%NM 1.28%1.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%2.0%2026-05-26 18:37