L’École des cotes

Jannik Sinner v Clement Tabur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 19:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prévision 97.13%1.03cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -190.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
93.38%96.76%97.12%99.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.011.011.01100.00%99.44%99.01%99.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clement Tabur (Visiteur)

Prévision 2.87%34.80cote équitable
EV +190.24%
Avantage +1.88%
Kelly +1.90%
Croissance +3.62%

avec la cote maximale 101.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
0.98%3.24%2.88%6.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
14.2532.5927.50101.007.02%3.07%3.64%0.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +190.24%E +1.88%K +1.90%G +3.62%1.0%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +92.53%E +1.38%K +1.40%G +1.30%1.5%2026-05-26 18:14
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +92.53%E +1.38%K +1.40%G +1.30%1.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Coral1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:40
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:39
SportsBet1.00I 100.00%NM 98.39%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%61.00I 1.64%NM 1.61%EV +75.29%E +1.23%K +1.25%G +0.945%1.6%2026-05-26 18:07
Pinnacle1.00I 100.00%NM 98.33%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%58.89I 1.70%NM 1.67%EV +69.23%E +1.18%K +1.20%G +0.828%1.7%2026-05-26 18:20
1xBet1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +46.56%E +0.913%K +0.931%G +0.433%2.0%2026-05-26 18:19
theScore Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 98.08%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%51.00I 1.96%NM 1.92%EV +46.56%E +0.913%K +0.931%G +0.433%2.0%2026-05-26 18:13
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%EV +43.68%E +0.874%K +0.891%G +0.389%1.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%EV +43.68%E +0.874%K +0.891%G +0.389%1.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +32.19%E +0.700%K +0.715%G +0.230%2.2%2026-05-26 18:40
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +17.82%E +0.435%K +0.445%G +0.079%2.4%2026-05-26 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +17.82%E +0.435%K +0.445%G +0.079%2.4%2026-05-26 18:20
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 18:40
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV -2.30%E -0.068%K -0.070%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Bet Victor1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -10.92%E -0.352%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 18:14
Caesars1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV -10.92%E -0.352%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV -16.66%E -0.575%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 18:19
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV -25.28%E -0.972%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:32
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -28.16%E -1.13%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV -28.16%E -1.13%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:13
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV -46.84%E -2.53%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:19
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -48.27%E -2.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 18:20
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Bet Right1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Betway1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -2.87%E -2.87%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -51.15%E -3.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 18:28
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -54.02%E -3.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:12
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -54.02%E -3.38%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:14
Marathon Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -55.46%E -3.58%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 18:14
Everygame1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -56.90%E -3.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:14
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -1.90%E -1.88%K -190.24%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -59.05%E -4.14%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 98.72%76.92I 1.30%NM 1.28%1.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%2.0%2026-05-26 18:37