Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Jaime Faria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 40.41%2.47fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.407%
Kelly +0.678%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%40.40%40.28%42.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.342.5044.44%42.76%42.74%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaime Faria (Visit)
Prediction 59.59%1.68fair odd
EV +0.117%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.172%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.58%59.60%59.72%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.54%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 40.41%; Jaime Faria (Visit): 59.59%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.02%E +0.407%K +0.678%G +0.007% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.00%E -0.410%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.24%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.64%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.479%E -0.287%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.64%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 08:57 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.45%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -6.66%E -2.88%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +0.117%E +0.069%K +0.172%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +0.117%E +0.069%K +0.172%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |