La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jan-Lennard Struff v Jaime Faria
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Predicción 40.41%2.47momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.407%
Kelly +0.678%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%40.40%40.28%42.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.342.5044.44%42.76%42.74%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jaime Faria (Visitante)
Predicción 59.59%1.68momio equitativo
EV +0.117%
Ventaja +0.069%
Kelly +0.172%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.58%59.60%59.72%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.54%62.50%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.02%E +0.407%K +0.678%G +0.007% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.00%E -0.410%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| GTbets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.24%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.64%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.479%E -0.287%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.64%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 08:57 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.45%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -6.66%E -2.88%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +0.117%E +0.069%K +0.172%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +0.117%E +0.069%K +0.172%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |
| Novig | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 09:00 |