La scuola delle quote

Jan-Lennard Struff v Jaime Faria

Inizio: 2026-05-28 09:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Casa)

Previsione 40.41%2.47quota equa
EV +1.02%
Vantaggio +0.407%
Kelly +0.678%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.50%40.40%40.28%42.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.342.342.5044.44%42.76%42.74%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jaime Faria (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.59%1.68quota equa
EV +0.117%
Vantaggio +0.069%
Kelly +0.172%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.58%59.60%59.72%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.601.6866.67%62.54%62.50%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +1.02%E +0.407%K +0.678%G +0.007%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.61%E -7.07%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 09:00
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.00%E -0.410%K -0.692%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-28 09:00
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-28 08:59
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.25%E -3.30%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 09:00
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.02%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Codere (IT)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 08:59
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 09:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 08:58
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 08:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 08:59
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 09:00
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.83%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.82%E -5.77%K -16.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 09:00
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -4.24%E -1.79%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 08:59
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -4.64%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -0.479%E -0.287%K -0.715%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-28 08:59
MyBookie.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.64%E -1.97%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 08:59
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 08:59
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 08:59
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 08:59
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 08:59
TAB2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 08:57
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.84%E -3.70%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 08:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:00
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:00
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 08:59
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 08:59
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.04%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 08:59
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.45%E -2.33%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:00
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:00
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 09:00
Bally Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.85%E -2.51%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 08:59
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:59
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -6.26%E -2.70%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 08:59
DraftKings2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -6.66%E -2.88%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 09:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:59
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 08:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:59
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.91%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:58
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.06%E -3.07%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 08:59
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +0.117%E +0.069%K +0.172%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-28 08:59
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -7.87%E -3.45%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV +0.117%E +0.069%K +0.172%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-28 08:59
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.46%E -2.14%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 08:59
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 08:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 08:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.08%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 08:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-28 09:00
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-05-28 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-28 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-28 09:00
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-05-28 09:00
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-05-28 09:00