A Escola das Odds

Jaime Faria v Denis Shapovalov

Início: 2026-05-26 15:27 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jaime Faria (Local)

Previsão 61.91%1.62odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.985%
Kelly -2.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.25%61.93%61.79%63.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.34%65.36%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denis Shapovalov (Visitante)

Previsão 38.09%2.63odd justa
EV -0.961%
Vantagem -0.370%
Kelly -0.601%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.12%38.07%38.21%39.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.14%40.00%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -7.06%E -2.89%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 15:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.63%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:20
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:20
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:59
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:19
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:10
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:20
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:10
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.15%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:12
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:19
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 08:50
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:18
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 15:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.38%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:10
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.38%1.4%2026-05-26 15:20