مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jaime Faria v Denis Shapovalov

البداية: 2026-05-26 15:27 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jaime Faria (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.91%1.62السعر العادل
EV -1.57%
الأفضلية -0.985%
Kelly -2.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
60.25%61.93%61.79%63.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.34%65.36%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Denis Shapovalov (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.09%2.63السعر العادل
EV -0.961%
الأفضلية -0.370%
Kelly -0.601%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.12%38.07%38.21%39.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.14%40.00%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -7.06%E -2.89%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 15:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.63%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:20
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:20
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:59
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:19
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:10
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:20
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:10
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.15%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:12
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:19
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 08:50
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:18
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 15:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.38%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:10
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 15:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.38%1.4%2026-05-26 15:20