L’École des cotes

Jaime Faria v Denis Shapovalov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 15:27 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prévision 61.91%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.985%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%61.93%61.79%63.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.5968.03%65.34%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denis Shapovalov (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.09%2.63cote équitable
EV -0.961%
Avantage -0.370%
Kelly -0.601%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.12%38.07%38.21%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.492.502.6042.55%40.14%40.00%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -7.06%E -2.89%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-26 15:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -1.57%E -0.985%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 14:10
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -2.80%E -1.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -8.20%E -3.40%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -3.63%E -1.43%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 15:20
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 15:20
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:20
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.72%E -0.668%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-26 15:20
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-26 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 14:59
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.61%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 15:19
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:10
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 15:20
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 15:10
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.15%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 15:12
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.66%E -3.03%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:10
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Bally Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:19
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 15:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 15:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 08:50
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 15:00
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -5.90%E -3.88%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -10.48%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:18
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.87%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:59
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -6.52%E -4.32%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -4.01%E -1.59%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 15:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:00
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 15:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.14%E -4.76%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.58%E -3.57%K -6.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.38%E -5.66%K -17.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.77%E -1.91%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 15:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.961%E -0.370%K -0.601%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 15:10
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.00%E -6.12%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.72%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-26 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-05-26 15:20
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.3%2026-05-26 15:20
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.38%1.4%2026-05-26 15:20